Friday
20 august 2010
16:55
Ex-economy minister in hiding in Germany, a PGO source indicatesRegions can wait till Oct. 31 giving more muscle to Yanukovych – not to irk West
By attracting new defectors from other parties, the ruling coalition may get a 300-strong constitutional majority to abrogate the 2004 constitutional reform and return to the 1996 version of the constitution, political expert Taras Berezovets told ZIK on Aug. 20. However, the most likely scenario of invalidating the 2004 reform is to get a ruling from the Constitutional Court [to which Yanukovych has recently appointed new judges] that the reform was unlawful.“My estimate is that the Party of Regions won’t be able to garner 300 votes. That is why all the bets have been placed on the CC,” Taras Berezovets says.
The CC scenario may unfold in two ways. Either the court will abrogate the 2004 reform before Oct. 31 local elections to demonstrate the strength of the regime to other political parties and to illustrate that the regime can railroad any decision it needs.
Or, on the contrary, the Regions may heed the increasing criticism of the West and wait until after the end of the local elections.
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