Interior minister's post is bone of contention between BYUT and PR

According to Stetskiv, the most likely scenario for Ukraine is the coalition between BYUT and PR. “Intensive bargaining has been going on for the past week over the distribution of ministerial seats and draft changes in the Constitution. Simultaneously, there haven’t been any talks to restore the democratic coalition. This does not mean there is no hope for the coalition, but the chances are slim,” he opined.

Stetskiv says the marriage of BYUT and PR won’t be based on any political or ideological agenda. The only issue that can consolidate their union is the distribution of posts. “It is common knowledge that PR is not after ministers for sports, education or foreign affairs, currently occupied by NUNS. PR seeks to control resources and cash flows. Although these ministries are staffed with BYUT functionaries, PR is pushing for their redistribution. Of other ministries run by NUNS, PR may be interested in the ministry for emergencies, mainly due to its hefty budget. It is still unclear whether the final deal has been struck by BYUT and PR,” says the lawmaker.

If, however, BYUT and PR fail to reach an agreement, there is a likelihood of snap elections, he says.

With regard to the imposition by Pres Yushchenko of a direct rule, Stetskiv says the probability is zero. All the rumors about the president playing it tough are just publicity stunts. There is no legal ground to impose a direct presidential rule. Such wild rumors are disseminated to scare Ukrainians,” he concluded.